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Computational journalist

Aaron Bycoffe

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PHOTO: See how 538's presidential forecast would change if Harris or Trump win a specific state. — ABC News Photo Art by Katrina Stapleton, AFP via Getty Images, Getty Images

Customize our 2024 presidential election forecast

Joe Biden and Donald Trump will face off in the first presidential debate of the 2024 general election on June 27 — ABC News Photo Illustration, Getty - Nathan Howard/Stringer, Brandon Bell/Staff

Who won the first Biden-Trump presidential debate?

Joe Biden and Donald Trump will face off in the first presidential debate of the 2024 general election on June 27 — ABC News Photo Illustration, Getty - Nathan Howard/Stringer, Brandon Bell/Staff

Who will win the first Biden-Trump presidential debate?

538 and Ipsos conducted a poll of likely Republican primary voters. — ABC News photo Illustration

Where do Republican voters stand ahead of the New Hampshire primary?

538 is tracking whether each Republican presidential candidate is over or under the number of delegates they need. — ABC News Photo Illustration, Getty Images

Who’s on track for the GOP nomination?

PHOTO: Republican presidential debate — ABC News Photo Illustration by Katrina Stapleton

Who won the fourth Republican debate?

PHOTO: Republican presidential debate — ABC News Photo Illustration by Katrina Stapleton

Who will win the fourth Republican debate?

PHOTO: Republican presidential debate — ABC News Photo Illustration by Katrina Stapleton

Who won the third Republican debate?

PHOTO: Republican presidential debate — ABC News Photo Illustration by Katrina Stapleton

Who will win the third Republican debate?

PHOTO: Republican presidential debate — ABC News Photo Illustration by Katrina Stapleton

Who won the second Republican debate?

PHOTO: Republican presidential debate — ABC News Photo Illustration by Katrina Stapleton

Who will win the second Republican debate?

PHOTO: 538's primary dashboard is your one-stop shop for data on the 2024 Republican primary. — ABC News Photo Illustration

The latest updates on the 2024 Republican presidential primary

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